Mon, Oct. 29 Electoral Vote Predictor

Mon, Oct. 29 Electoral Vote Predictor: Editorial note: The site is updated every day, usually around 7 A.M. Eastern time. if you are seeing old data, clear your
browser's cache. Usually Ctrl+F5 does the job.

National Polls Are Divided

Four national polls were released yesterday, by Gallup, Rasmussen, IBD, and Ipsos.
The results were Romney by 4, Romney by 3, Obama by 1 and Obama by 3, respectively. The arithmetic average
puts Romney ahead by 0.75%, a statistical tie. If we exclude Rasmussen (see story below), it is dead even.

Where Do We Stand Now?

The popular vote polls are all well and good, but in the end, don't matter.
In reality, only 538 people get to vote for President--the presidential electors.
As we have been pointing out since
June 4th,
if Obama wins the states the Democrats have won five times in a row, which seems quite likely, he has a base
of 242 electoral votes. He also seems likely to win Nevada and New Mexico, bringing him to 253. How might he
get the remaining 17? The scenarios are below.
The swing states being fought over and the EVs are: Florida (29), Ohio (18), North Carolina (15), Virginia (13),
Colorado (9), Iowa (6), and New Hampshire (4).

Click here for full story