Showing posts with label Asia. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Asia. Show all posts

Apr 2, 2010

Return to Indonesia | Travel | Smithsonian Magazine

indonesia batikImage by FriskoDude via Flickr

A reporter chronicles the revival of the world's most populous Muslim nation a decade after its disintegration

  • By David Lamb
  • Smithsonian magazine, April 2010
As reports of riots in Indonesia flashed across the world’s news wires, in May 1998, my wife telephoned the hotel in Jakarta where I was staying to make sure I was OK. “What do you see out your window?” she asked. Flames from burning department stores and Chinese shops and businesses owned by the family of President Suharto spread across the horizon like a magnificent sunset. Army tanks and soldiers with dogs filled the square below. “I see a city burning,” I said, “a city dying.”

At the time it seemed no exaggeration. Indonesia’s economy and its currency, the rupiah, had collapsed in a financial crisis that gripped all of Southeast Asia. In parts of the Spice Islands, which belong to Indonesia, tensions between Muslims and Christians were escalating. In the nation’s province of Aceh, and in Papua, site of one of the world’s richest deposits of copper and gold, the death toll mounted as secessionists skirmished with the army. East Timor was about to fall into anarchy, then secede from Indonesia as an independent country. In Jakarta, the nation’s capital, student protesters seeking to replace three decades of dictatorship with democracy were brutally put down by the military and government thugs, sparking clashes that would claim 1,200 lives and 6,000 buildings. Hardest hit was the Chinese minority, long resented for their entrepreneurial success; their businesses were looted and destroyed, and women were raped by hired military goons. Tens of thousands of Chinese fled the country.

I was then a reporter for The Los Angeles Times, based in Hanoi, and I was covering the civil unrest in Jakarta. One day I came upon an anti-Suharto demonstration at Trisakti, a private university. Students at other colleges sometimes taunted Trisakti’s students, belittling their lack of political involvement by waving bras and panties at them. But on this day Trisakti’s young men challenged the soldiers, standing shoulder to shoulder and pushing against their lines. “Don’t get so close. You could get shot and killed,” a friend of 19-year-old Trisakti student Elang Lesmana warned him. “That’s OK,” Lesmana replied. “I’d be a hero.” The soldiers, who had exchanged their rubber bullets for real ones, killed Lesmana and three other students. The deaths galvanized Indonesia, turning the tide of public and military sentiment.

Medical Box (souvenir), Bataks Wood Carving / ...Image by flydime via Flickr

Suharto’s top general, Wiranto—like Suharto and many Indonesians, he has only one name—told the president the military could no longer protect him and had no intention of staging a Tiananmen Square-style massacre in Jakarta. Nine days after the shootings of students, on May 21, Asia’s longest-serving leader resigned. He retired to the family compound in a leafy Jakarta suburb to live out his final decade watching TV, surrounded by a stuffed tiger and bookshelves full of cheap souvenirs and trinkets. Caged songbirds sang on his terrace.

For 32 years Suharto had run Indonesia like the CEO of a family corporation. The Suhartos’ fortune reportedly topped $15 billion, and they had a major stake in more than 1,200 companies. But Suharto left behind more than a legacy of corruption and a military best known for its deadly abuse of human rights. He had also been Indonesia’s father of development, building schools and roads, opening the economy to foreign investment, transforming dusty, tropical Jakarta into a modern capital and lifting millions of Indonesians out of poverty.

The world’s most populous Muslim country, with 240 million people, Indonesia has always been an ungainly place. The archipelago encompasses 17,500 islands—6,000 inhabited—that stretch 3,200 miles across the Pacific Ocean’s so-called Ring of Fire where earthquakes and volcanoes are a constant threat and tsunamis are born. The people—88 percent Muslim—speak scores of local languages and represent dozens of ethnic groups. As recently as the 1950s the population included tribes of headhunters. That this polyglot was born as a single nation in 1949, after 300 years of Dutch rule and four of warfare and negotiations with the Netherlands, was a miracle in itself.

After witnessing the Suharto-era meltdown, I did not return to Indonesia until October 2009, after I had begun hearing about changes unimaginable a decade earlier. On the surface, Jakarta didn’t seem much changed. Traffic remained gridlocked in the humid 90-degree heat. Shantytown slums languished in the shadow of marbled shopping malls where pianists in tuxedos played Chopin next to Valentino and Louis Vuitton shops, and white-gloved valets parked cars. The Indonesians I encountered were, as always, gracious and friendly, and I could walk virtually any street, even at night in a city of nine million people, with no fear for my safety. On one block you’d still find a mosque packed with men who considered alcohol and dancing ungodly, on the next, a nightclub like the Stadium that served alcohol 24 hours a day on weekends and boasted a disco pulsating with lights, thunderous rock music and writhing young bodies.

But beneath the surface, everything was different. Indonesia had recovered from half a century of dictatorship—first under Sukarno, then Suharto—and in the time I’d been away had become what Freedom House, a U.S. think tank, called the only fully free and democratic country in Southeast Asia. The outlying islands were generally calm. Soldiers no longer careered with abandon through city streets in cars bearing the red license plates of the military command. The unthinkable had happened: Indonesia had become one of the region’s most stable and prosperous nations.

People seldom talked about the dark past, not even of the apocalyptic end of the Sukarno regime in the mid-1960s, when the army and vigilantes went on a madhouse slaughter to purge the country of leftists, real and imagined. The killings spread from Jakarta to the Hindu-dominated island of Bali, and by the time order was restored as many as half a million had lost their lives. The mayhem was captured in the 1982 movie starring Mel Gibson and Linda Hunt, The Year of Living Dangerously.

Today Indonesia has joined the Group of 20, the world’s premier forum for economic cooperation. Blessed with an abundance of natural resources—petroleum, natural gas, timber, rubber and various minerals—and a strategic position straddling one of the world’s most important shipping lanes, it is one of Asia’s fastest-growing economies.

Sunrise at Ternate, Maluku Islands, IndonesiaImage by Eustaquio Santimano via Flickr

“There was great euphoria when Suharto stepped down, but it opened a Pandora’s box,” said Julia Suryakusuma, a Jakarta newspaper columnist. “Yes, we’ve got a real democracy. The world’s third largest after India and the United States. That’s pretty amazing. But what people worry about now is Islamization, the hard-liners who want an Islamic state.”

A soft rain was falling the night Fanny Hananto came to pick me up at my hotel. I jumped on the back of his motorcycle, and we slipped through lines of idling, bumper-to-bumper cars, headed for the mosque he attends. We passed a large group of women with small children, collectively called traffic jockeys, on a sidewalk. Hananto said solo motorists would pay a mother and child 25,000 rupiah (about $2.50 U.S.) to be passengers so the driver could use the lane reserved for cars occupied by three or more people.

I had met the 37-year-old Hananto through a friend. With his scraggly beard and a wife who dressed in black, everything covered but her eyes, and a daughter named for one of the Prophet Muhammad’s wives, Hananto seemed the very personification of Islamic purity. Had he always been religious?

“Not exactly,” he said. As a younger man, he had worked on a cruise ship, spent nights partying with drugs and alcohol and, referring to the crowd that hung out at the Stadium nightclub, said, “I was one of them.” But about a dozen years ago he grew to fear the wrath of Allah and did a 180-degree turn, embracing Islam through the Kebon Jeruk Mosque, to which he was now taking me. He so deeply trusted the imam who mentored him that when the cleric said he had found a good woman for Hananto, and showed him her picture, Hananto said, “OK, I will marry her.” He did so a short time later, never mentioning his past life to her.

I removed my shoes as we entered the mosque, fearing I might lose them amid the piles of footwear strewn about. Thursday evening prayers had attracted so many men, perhaps 2,000, that I could not even see the visiting Pakistani cleric preaching at the front. The men were members of an apolitical Islamic movement, Tablighi Jamaat, that strives to make Muslims better practitioners of their faith. I squatted on the floor, and men in long, loose-fitting white shirts and turbans nodded in welcome or reached out to shake my hand. Hananto introduced me to his friend, Aminudia Noon, a university professor of civil engineering. I asked him where the women were.

Istiqlal Mosque, Jakarta, IndonesiaImage via Wikipedia

“They’re home praying,” he said. “If they were to come here, it would be like an arrow to the heart from Satan.”

Islam was brought to Indonesia not by conquest but by 12th-century Muslim traders who took cloves, nutmeg and other spices to the West. Its spread was gradual and peaceful. Rather than smothering local culture and religions—Hinduism, Buddhism, mysticism—it absorbed them. The Islam that took root was less doctrinaire and less intolerant than some forms practiced in the Middle East, and no one found it particularly unusual that Suharto meditated in caves and consulted astrologers and clairvoyants.

Both Sukarno and Suharto were leery of fervent Islam. Sukarno feared it could threaten the stability of his diverse, fragile country and at independence rejected the idea of making Indonesia an Islamic republic. Suharto kept his distance from the Arab Muslim world and for years kept Islamists at home on a short leash. Some went underground or left for more comfortable lives in neighboring Malaysia, which is also Islamic.

I told Professor Noon I didn’t understand how Muslim terrorists who had killed countless innocents in Indonesia and other countries could be considered martyrs. “Those who believe that have misinterpreted Islam,” he said. “The basic theme of Islam is love and affection. How can you put people who make bombs in paradise? Suicide bombers are not martyrs. They have lost the blessing of Allah, and they will receive His greatest punishment in the hereafter.”

Indonesia after Suharto’s fall was buffeted by drift, strife and communal conflict. Islamic extremists emerged from the shadows—and with them the country’s first suicide bombers. In Java, the island where Jakarta is located, mysterious assassins brutally killed scores of suspected black-magic sorcerers.

Meanwhile, between 1998 and 2004 three unlikely chief executives shuttled in rapid succession through the presidency—a millionaire engineer educated in East Germany, a nearly blind Muslim cleric, who often dozed off in meetings and was eventually impeached, and Sukarno’s daughter, whose most notable credential was her father’s genes.

Enter, in 2004, Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, then a 55-year-old retired general who had been educated in the United States and who, as a youth, had sung and played guitar in a band named Gaya Teruna (Youth Style). He had a clean, graft-free reputation, a dedication to democracy and a belief that Indonesia’s traditionally tolerant, moderate form of Islam—Smiling Islam, Indonesians call it—was the true expression of the faith. The local news media referred to him as “the thinking general” and seemed delighted when, at a campaign stop in Bali, he sang John Lennon’s song “Imagine” in English. No one seemed to mind that it offered a distinctly atheistic outlook:

Imagine there’s no Heaven...
No hell below us...
And no religion too.
Imagine all the people
Living life in peace...

On September 20, 2004, some 117 million Indonesians voted in the largest single-day free election the world had ever seen to make Yudhoyono, who had promised to continue to reform the nation and the military and to rein in terrorism, the country’s sixth president. Five years later, he was re-elected in a landslide, collecting more direct votes (74 million) than any candidate had ever won worldwide. (The previous record had been Barack Obama’s 69 million votes in 2008.) In a nod to austerity, Yudhoyono’s second inauguration in October 2009 cost a mere $30,000.

Last year, Time magazine named Yudhoyono one of the world’s 100 most influential people. Not only has he continued with reforms to curb the military’s role in society, but he also struck a peace deal with anti-government rebels in Aceh province on the northern tip of Sumatra, ending a nearly 30-year war that had claimed 15,000 lives. Arrests, executions and raids had seriously weakened Jemaah Islamiyah (JI), a homegrown Al Qaeda look-alike considered Southeast Asia’s deadliest terrorist group. (The name means “Islamic Community.”) Freedoms have continued for the Chinese minority, numbering about five million people or roughly 2 percent of the population, who had become free to use Chinese characters on its storefronts, celebrate Chinese New Year and openly teach the Chinese language. “Things are more secure, much better. We’ll see,” said Ayung Dim, 57, a merchant who had survived the 1998 riots by hiding with his family in his metal shop before fleeing to Malaysia.

The Indonesian government also patched up relations with the United States. It laid the groundwork for the return of the Peace Corps, expelled four decades earlier by the anti-Western Sukarno, who taunted the American ambassador, Marshall Green: “Go to hell with your aid!” Yudhoyono threw his support behind an anti-corruption commission, which caught some big fish, including his own daughter-in-law’s father. Indonesia’s democratic transformation and political reform have brought about a resumption of military cooperation with the United States, which had been suspended because of the Indonesian Army’s abysmal human-rights record.

The day before Yudhoyono’s second swearing-in, I took a taxi to the English-language Jakarta Post to see how the media had fared under him and what had changed since Suharto, when insulting the president or vice president was a crime and newspapers could be closed after printing three objectionable articles.

The privately owned Post, one of 16 national newspapers, had recently moved into a sparkling new building. I was surprised to find an empty newsroom. I asked the editor, Endy Bayuni, where everyone was. “They’re out doing what reporters are meant to do—reporting,” he said. “There are no government restrictions any more, no issues we can’t report on. With all the corruption here, Indonesia is a gold mine for investigative reporters, but our reporters don’t have the skills yet to do that kind of reporting well because we weren’t allowed to do it for so long. We’re retraining them.”

“In the old days,” he went on, “we became famous as the paper you had to read between the lines to understand. We’d push the invisible line as far as we could. It was the only way to keep your sanity as a reporter. Every segment of society has a voice now, even if it’s an unwanted voice” like that of Islamic extremists.

One branch of Islam has resurfaced here in its hard-core, anti-Western jihadist form. The terrorist group Jemaah Islamiyah first captured the world’s attention in 2002 when a young suicide bomber with a backpack and a car loaded with explosives leveled two tourist bars, Paddy’s Pub and the Sari Club, on the Indonesian island of Bali. Over 200 people from 23 countries died. A marble memorial now marks the spot where Paddy’s stood, and a new bar has opened nearby with the name Paddy’s: Reloaded. In the next seven years terrorists launched several additional, deadly attacks—on restaurants in Bali and Jakarta, two at the JW Marriott and one each at the Ritz-Carlton and the Australian Embassy.

Though diminished by arrests and internal strife, JI and splinter terrorist groups still pose a big challenge to the fulfillment of Yudhoyono’s campaign promise that “God willing, in the next five years the world will say, ‘Indonesia is something; Indonesia is rising.’”

I met Nasir Abas in a dingy Jakarta coffee shop across the road from Cipinang Prison, which holds some of Indonesia’s toughest criminals and most incorrigible terrorists. Abas’ own terrorist credentials were formidable. He had trained on the Pakistan-Afghanistan border, set up a military academy in the jungles of the southern Philippines and taught half a dozen of the young men who carried out the first Bali bombing how to kill. His brother spent eight years in a Singapore prison for plotting a foiled terrorist attack. (He was released in January.) His brother-in-law was executed for his role in the bombing of Paddy’s and the Sari Club. Abas, 40, brought along a sidekick, Jhoni “Idris” Hendrawan, 34, who had taken part in three deadly terrorist attacks in Indonesia and been arrested while counting the money he had robbed from a bank to finance a future attack.

These days Abas has a new role: he works for the police. Abas helped officers question suspects responsible for the second Bali bombing. He has testified against JI operatives in court, leading to their conviction and imprisonment. His encyclopedic knowledge of the terrorist network provided authorities with a trove of intelligence. He is one of the first on the scene of terrorist attacks and often finds clues that only a JI insider would recognize. In his spare time he visits terrorists in Cipinang and other prisons, trying to convince them that killing civilians and innocents is un-Islamic. Some prisoners refuse to talk to him and call him a traitor; others, like Hendrawan, have bought into Abas’ deradicalization program and have forsworn violence. “I thought the students I trained would take part in jihad against forces occupying Muslim lands, like in Afghanistan,” Abas said. “Then the Bali bombing. This wasn’t jihad. Prophet Muhammad said it is wrong to do anything cruel, wrong to kill old men, women and children. After Bali, I came to realize many of my friends and relatives had strange ideas and thought it was OK to kill civilians.”

His conversion, he said, came after his 2003 arrest. “I always thought the police were my enemy.” But they called him Mr. Nasir and, after beating him the day of his arrest, never touched him again. If they had tortured him further, he said he would have been silent or given them false information. “They said, ‘We are Muslim like you. We aren’t against Islam. We just want to stop criminals.’ Even the Christian cops didn’t use bad words about Islam. I changed my mind about the police, and that was one turning point.”

Another, he told me, was when Cipinang’s commander came to see him in prison. “Bekto Suprapto was a colonel and a Christian. He told the ten men guarding me to take off my handcuffs. Then he told them to leave. I’m thinking, ‘What a brave man, because if I want to do something to him, I’m sure I could carry it off.’ We talked about jihad, about Christians and Muslims. He gave me a Bible and I ended up reading it. I started wondering why God hadn’t let me die or be killed. I answered my own question. He hadn’t because there was something God wanted of me. It was to do what I’m doing now.” Abas’ change of direction also had a practical benefit: it won his release from custody.

Abas—and mainstream experts on terrorism—say JI continues to recruit at its 50 schools and in the mosques it operates. But, they add, its leadership and structure have been severely weakened by Yudhoyono’s three-pronged strategy: first, to aggressively pursue terrorists, which has resulted in more than 400 arrests, several executions and the shooting death of JI leader Noordin Mohammad Top in 2009; second, to undercut the popular appeal of militancy by exposing it as un-Islamic; and lastly, to ensure that the government does not create more terrorists by treating prisoners brutally.

Recent elections offer a glimpse into the public’s changing attitudes. In parliamentary elections in 2004, Islamic parties won 38 percent of the vote; in 2009, the percentage dropped to 23. In a poll of Indonesians by a group called Terror Free Tomorrow, 74 percent said terrorist attacks are “never justified.” In another poll, 42 percent said religion should have no role in politics, up from 29 percent the previous year. Apparently, most Indonesians continue to embrace moderation and tolerance.

Indonesia’s ulema, or leading clerics, were long on the fence about terrorism, believing no Indonesians nor any Muslims could have been responsible for the attacks. Many never denounced the Bali bombing but did condemn a police raid in East Java in 2005 in which JI’s leading bomb master, Azahari “Demolition Man” Husin, was killed as a U.S.-trained counterterrorism unit raided his hide-out. Yudhoyono’s vice president, Jusuf Kalla, invited leading clerics to his house for dinner. He spoke with them for 50 minutes. He showed them pictures of huge stockpiles of bomb-making equipment and weapons the police had found at the hide-out. Then he showed them videos of young suicide bombers saying their goodbyes before heading out on death missions in search of martyrdom. “Do you still believe the police shouldn’t have raided the house?” Kalla asked. The clerics all agreed that the raid was justified. It was an important government victory to get influential opinion-makers on the record with a condemnation of terrorism.

“Indonesia has done far better than the United States combating terrorism as far as abiding by the rule of law goes,” said Sidney Jones, a longtime U.S. resident of Jakarta and a conflict analyst with the Belgium-based International Crisis Group. “There have been no witch hunts, no Guantánamos, no water boarding.” The Yudhoyono government, she said, treats terrorism as a law-and-order problem for the police, and the police in turn use what they call a “soft approach,” as they did with Nasir Abas. Everyone is charged in open court with reporters present. “Because of the information coming out of the trials, the Indonesian public became convinced that the terrorists are Indonesians, not CIA and Mossad operatives,” Jones said.

The Indonesia I visited this past October was a different country from the one I left a decade ago. Although 32.5 million of the country’s people still live below the poverty line, most Indonesians no longer wake up hoping they can simply make it through the day. The students’ agenda of the 1990s—democracy, civil order, economic opportunity, respect for human rights—had become the national agenda. Everyone I met seemed aware that Indonesia had been given something some countries never get: a second chance. The optimism was palpable. “If Indonesia were a stock, I’d be buying,” said Eric Bjornlund, co-founder of Democracy International, Inc., a firm in Bethesda, Maryland, specializing in international democratic development.

But many challenges lie ahead. Yudhoyono’s popularity rating remains high—75 percent in early 2010—but has fallen 15 percent since his election, partly because of scandals within his government and criticism that he is indecisive. What if it continues to fall and he alters course, back-tracking into the dictatorial ways of his predecessors? What about deep-rooted corruption, which has drawn protesters into Jakarta’s streets; inertia in the civil service; the gap between rich and poor; and the continuing battle for the soul of Islam between moderates and extremists? In 2009, Aceh province, for instance, adopted a new Shariah law (law of God) that calls for death by stoning for adulterers. To the relief of moderates, concerned about tourism and foreign investment, Aceh has yet to carry out any stonings.

One day, I sat with six students in the shade of a kiosk at Jakarta’s Paramadina University, which includes in its curriculum a course on anti-corruption. The two young women present wore colorful jilbabs, the Islamic scarf that covers the hair and neck. All six spoke excellent English. They wanted to know if I was on Facebook and what I thought of President Obama, who as this story went to press was planning a visit in March to Indonesia, where he lived with his mother and Indonesian stepfather from 1967 to 1971. He has become popular in Indonesia since his campaign and election, and this past December a 43-inch bronze statue was unveiled in a city park, depicting a 10-year-old Obama wearing schoolboy shorts with his outstretched hand holding a butterfly. (A protest campaign that began on Facebook, arguing that Obama is not an Indonesian national hero, succeeded in getting the statue removed from the park. Officials transferred it to Obama’s former school in February.) I asked the students what their goals were. One wanted to be a computer programmer, another an entrepreneur, a third wanted to study in the United States.

“For me,” said 20-year-old Muhammad Fajar, “the biggest dream is to be a diplomat. Indonesia can have a big place in the world, and I want to be part of it. But first we’ve got to show the world that Indonesia is not just about poverty and corruption and terrorism.”

David Lamb, who traveled Asia extensively as a Los Angeles Times correspondent, is a regular contributor to Smithsonian.

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Dec 29, 2009

U.S. concerned about new Japanese premier Hatoyama

Yukio Hatoyama, at a reception at the Metropol...Image via Wikipedia

By John Pomfret
Washington Post Staff Writer
Tuesday, December 29, 2009; A08

While most of the federal government was shut down by a snowstorm last week, there was one person in particular whom Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton called in through the cold: Japanese Ambassador Ichiro Fujisaki.

Once he arrived, Clinton told him in blunt, if diplomatic, terms that the United States remains adamant about moving a Marine base from one part of Okinawa to another. That she felt compelled to call the unusual meeting highlights what some U.S. and Asian officials say is an alarming turn in relations with Japan since Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama led an opposition party to victory in August elections, ending an almost uninterrupted five decades of rule by the Liberal Democratic Party.

Since the election, a series of canceled dinners, diplomatic demarches, and publicly and privately broken promises from the new government has vexed senior White House officials, causing new concern about the U.S. friendship with its closest Asian ally. The worry extends beyond U.S. officials to other leaders in Southeast Asia, who are nervous about anything that lessens the U.S. security role in the region.

A pledge of assertiveness

At the center of concern are Hatoyama and his Democratic Party of Japan. Hatoyama had campaigned on promises he would be more assertive than previous Japanese leaders in dealings with the United States. He and his coalition partners opposed parts of a $26 billion agreement between the two nations to move the Marine base to a less-populated part of Okinawa and to transfer 8,000 Marines from Okinawa to Guam.

The United States has seen the moves as central to a new Asian security policy to assure Japan's defense and to counter the rise of China. But Hatoyama and his allies saw the agreement as the United States dictating terms, and wanted the base removed.

Increasingly, U.S. officials view Hatoyama as a mercurial leader. In interviews, the officials said he has twice urged President Obama to trust him on the base issue and promised to resolve it before year's end -- once during a meeting between the two in Tokyo last month and another in a letter he wrote Obama after the White House had privately expressed concerns about the Japanese leader's intentions.

Headquarters, 15th Weather Squadron, Kadena Ai...Image via Wikipedia

On Dec. 17, Hatoyama officially informed the Obama administration that he would not make a decision about the air base by the end of the year. He told Clinton the news in conversation at a dinner in Copenhagen at the conclusion of the United Nations climate-change summit.

After the dinner, Hatoyama told Japanese reporters that he had obtained Clinton's "full understanding" about Tokyo's need to delay. But that apparently was not the case. To make sure Japan understood that the U.S. position has not changed, Clinton called in the Japanese ambassador during last week's storm, apparently having some impact.

"This is a thing that rarely occurs, and I think we should take this [Clinton's action] into account," the ambassador told reporters as he left the State Department.

Hatoyama's moves have befuddled analysts in Washington. So far, most still think he and his party remain committed to the security relationship with the United States.

Emblem of the 390th Intelligence Squadron, a U...Image via Wikipedia

They explain his behavior as that of a politician who is not accustomed to power, who needs to pay attention to his coalition partners -- one of which, the Social Democratic Party of Japan, is against any U.S. military presence in the country. They note that Hatoyama has put money aside for the base-relocation plan in Japan's budget and that other senior members of his party have told their U.S. counterparts they will honor the deal.

Shifting policy?

But some U.S. and Asian officials increasingly worry that Hatoyama and others in his party may be considering a significant policy shift -- away from the United States and toward a more independent foreign policy.

They point to recent events as a possible warnings: Hatoyama's call for an East Asian Community with China and South Korea, excluding the United States; the unusually warm welcome given to Xi Junping, China's vice president, on his trip to Japan this month, which included an audience with the emperor; and the friendly reception given to Saeed Jalili, the Iranian national security council secretary, during his visit to Japan last week.

Michael Green, senior director for Asia at the National Security Council during the Bush administration, said the concern is that senior officials in Hatoyama's party with great influence, such as Ichiro Ozawa, want to push Japan toward closer ties with China and less reliance on the United States. That would complicate the U.S. position not just in Japan but in South Korea and elsewhere.

"I think there are questions about what kind of role Ozawa is playing," Green said, adding that Ozawa has not been to the United States in a decade, has yet to meet the U.S. ambassador to Japan, John Roos, and only grudgingly met Clinton during an earlier trip to Japan.

"The prevailing view is that this is basically a populist, inexperienced government sorting out its foreign policy," he said, "but now there is a 10 to 20 percent chance that this is something more problematic."

U.S. allies in Singapore, Australia, South Korea and the Philippines -- and Vietnamese officials as well -- have all viewed the tussle between Washington and Tokyo with alarm, according to several senior Asian diplomats.

The reason, one diplomat said, is that the U.S.-Japan relationship is not simply an alliance that obligates the United States to defend Japan, but the foundation of a broader U.S. security commitment to all of Asia. As China rises, none of the countries in Asia wants the U.S. position weakened by problems with Japan.

Another senior Asian diplomat, speaking on the condition of anonymity in order to be candid, noted that recent public opinion polls show Hatoyama's approval rating slipping below 50 percent, while Obama remains popular.

"Let's hope Hatoyama gets the message that this is not the way to handle the United States," he said.

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Dec 23, 2009

New East-West Center Publications (free, pdfs)

East-West Center GardenImage by wertheim via Flickr


Repression and Punishment in North Korea: Survey Evidence of Prison Camp Experiences, by Stephan Haggard and Marcus Noland. East-West Center Working Papers, Politics, Governance, and Security Series, No. 20. Honolulu: East-West Center, October 2009. 39 pp. Paper, $3.00.

The penal system has played a central role in the North Korean government's response to the country's profound economic and social changes. Two refugee surveys--one conducted in China, one in South Korea--document its changing role. The regime disproportionately targets politically suspect groups, particularly those involved in market-oriented economic activities. Levels of violence and deprivation do not appear to differ substantially between the infamous political prison camps, penitentiaries for felons, and labor camps used to incarcerate individuals for misdemeanors, including economic crimes. Substantial numbers of those incarcerated report experiencing deprivation with respect to food as well as public executions and other forms of violence. This repression appears to work; despite substantial cynicism about the North Korean system, refugees do not report signs of collective action aimed at confronting the regime.

Such a system may also reflect ulterior motives. High levels of discretion with respect to arrest and sentencing and very high costs of detention, arrest and incarceration encourage bribery; the more arbitrary and painful the experience with the penal system, the easier it is for officials to extort money for avoiding it. These characteristics not only promote regime maintenance through intimidation, but may facilitate predatory corruption as well.

Koi at the East-West CenterImage by Akoaraisin via Flickr

Japan's Approach to Building Peace: A Critical Appraisal and the Way Forward, by Kuniko Ashizawa. Asia Pacific Bulletin, No. 45. Washington, D.C.: East-West Center in Washington, December 16, 2009. 2 pp. Electronic.

On the eve of President Obama's first visit to Asia in early November 2009, the new Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ)-led government announced a new assistance package to Afghanistan amounting to US$5 billion over the next five years to support reconstruction and stabilization. This new package will, in effect, quadruple Japan's annual assistance, making it the second largest financial contributor to Afghanistan's reconstruction among individual donor states after the United States. Kuniko Ashizawa describes Japan's approach to peacebuilding in Afghanistan and other areas of conflict.

The Cambodia-Thailand Conflict: A Test for ASEAN, by Sokbunthoeun So. Asia Pacific Bulletin, No. 44. Washington, D.C.: East-West Center in Washington, December 10, 2009. 2 pp. Electronic.

The current conflict between Cambodia and Thailand, both members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), provides a test case for ASEAN to act as a key player in resolving disputes among its members. A failure by ASEAN to do so would reduce its credibility and impede the realization of an ASEAN community by 2015. Sokbunthoeun So discusses the Cambodian-Thai conflict and the implications for ASEAN.

East-West Center creekImage by Akoaraisin via Flickr

The Democratic Party of Japan and North Korea Policy, by Yoichiro Sato. Asia Pacific Bulletin, No. 43. Washington, D.C.: East-West Center in Washington, November 16, 2009. 2 pp. Electronic.

When President Obama met Prime Minister Hatoyama of Japan in November 2009, a variety of contentious bilateral issues were on the table. However, despite divergence between the two countries on the military base issues in Okinawa and disagreement over Japan's emphasis on building an East Asian Community, the Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) government will stay closely aligned with the United States in terms of its basic North Korea policy. Yoichiro Sato discusses the new Japanese government's policy toward North Korea.

Backlist of recent titles in the Asia Pacific Bulletin publication series:

The United States-Indonesia Comprehensive Partnership and the New Yudhoyono Administration, by Thomas B. Pepinsky. Asia Pacific Bulletin, No. 42. Washington, D.C.: East-West Center in Washington, August 17, 2009. 2 pp. Electronic.

Bill Clinton in North Korea: Winners and Losers, by Denny Roy. Asia Pacific Bulletin, No. 41. Washington, D.C.: East-West Center in Washington, August 11, 2009. 2 pp. Electronic.

The ASEAN Inter-Governmental Commission on Human Rights and Beyond, by Hao Duy Phan. Asia Pacific Bulletin, No. 40. Washington, D.C.: East-West Center in Washington, July 20, 2009. 2 pp. Electronic.

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Dec 22, 2009

New Asia Research Centre Working Papers

Murdoch University LogoImage via Wikipedia

The Asia Research Centre announces 5 working papers from the History of
Marine Animal Populations project. Since 2006, Malcolm Tull of the Asia
Research Centre has been the Project Leader of the Asia module of HMAP,
the historical component of the Census of Marine Life, which "aims to
improve our understanding of ecosystem dynamics, specifically with
regard to long-term changes in stock abundance, the ecological impact of
large-scale harvesting by man, and the role of marine resources in the
historical development of human society".

WP 161, Jo Marie V. Acebes, 'Historical whaling in the Philippines:
origins of 'indigenous subsistence whaling', mapping whaling grounds and
comparison with current known distribution'
(http://wwwarc.murdoch.edu.au/wp/wp161.pdf).

WP 160, Brooke Halkyard, 'Exploiting Green and Hawksbill Turtles in
Western Australia. A Case Study of the Commercial Marine Turtle Fishery,
1869 - 1973' (http://wwwarc.murdoch.edu.au/wp/wp160.pdf).

WP 159, Chen Ta-Yuan, 'The Evolution and Development of the Taiwanese
Offshore Tuna Fishery, 1912- 2005'
(http://wwwarc.murdoch.edu.au/wp/wp159.pdf).

WP 158, Malcolm Tull, 'The History of Shark Fishing in Indonesia'
(http://wwwarc.murdoch.edu.au/wp/wp158.pdf).

WP 157, Joseph Christensen, 'Recreational Fishing and Fisheries
Management' (http://wwwarc.murdoch.edu.au/wp/wp157.pdf).

The Centre also announces the publication of WP 162 by Dr Gerard
Strange, University of Lincoln, UK, titled 'World Order and EU
Regionalism: towards an open approach to New Constitutionalism'
(http://wwwarc.murdoch.edu.au/wp/wp162.pdf).

The working papers are all available from
http://wwwarc.murdoch.edu.au/workingpapers.html

Dr Shahar Hameiri
Editor of the Asia Research Centre Working Paper Series

Asia Research Centre
School of Social Science and Humanities

Murdoch University
Murdoch 6150
Western Australia
Ph: 61-8-9360 6228
Fax: 61-8-93104944
email: S.Hameiri@murdoch.edu.au
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Dec 21, 2009

TOC - IIAS Newsletter No. 52

Newsletter 52


Winter 2009

1 Cover
2 - 3 Contents | From the Editor

The Study

4-5

The Shanghai model Gregory Bracken

6 Thailand’s acrimonious adjacency to Cambodia (Part 2) Eisel Mazard
7 Indonesian literature in exile, 1965-1998 Dorothea Schaefter
8 - 9 Journey through the archipelago: Photographs of the former Dutch East Indies Louis Zweers
10 A tale of two systems: questioning land tenure reform in China Yongjun Zhao
11 Local party procedures: field notes from Malang Ulla Fionna
12 - 13 Eroding Kashmiriyat Sanjeeb Mohanty
14 The Orissa famine of 1866 Ganeswar Nayak
15 International student mobility Nicholas Tarling
The Focus: Genomics in Asia
16 Bioethics and life science in Asia Margaret Sleeboom-Faulkner
17 Life without value? Voices of embryo donors for hESC research in China Achim Rosemann
18 - 19 'What would you do, doctor sahib?' Pre-natal testing in the socio-cultural context of India Jyotsna Agnihotri Gupta
20 - 21 Selective abortion in Japan Masae Kato
22 Double discrimination Sickle cell anaemia prevention programmes in India Prasanna Kumar Patra
23 Creating a 'saviour sibling' in China Suli Sui
24 Turning misfortune into blessing Public confidence in hESC after Hwang Seyoung Hwang
25 Beyond Hwang ‘International stem cell war’ in South Korea Leo Kim
26 Human subjects in Chinese ethnic biobanks Jan-Eerik Leppanen
27

Biomedical research in South Asia. Ethical review, remit and responsibility Robert Simpson


The Review

28 - 29 New For Review
30 Bookmarked
31 The folk zoology of Southeast Asian wildmen Raymond Corbey
32 Revisiting Sugarlandia Ghulam A. Nadri
33 Model mythical women Vasudha Dalmia
34 Is the grass greener on the ‘Other’ side? Karma Phuntsho
35 All at sea? Hans Schenk
36 National politics, local contexts Dirk Tomsa
37 ‘Inventing’ the horse Nicholas Tarling
36 - 37 Reinventing the wheel Niels Mulder
38 - 39 The State and statism in Burma (Myanmar) Donald M. Seekins

The Network

40 - 41 IIAS News and comment
42 - 43 ICAS Book Prize 2009 | ICAS 6th International Convention
44 Announcements
45 IIAS Research
46 IIAS Fellows
47 Colophon

The Portrait

44 Kazakh embroidered wall hangings Anna Portisch


Attachment Size
IIAS_NL52_01.pdf 1.38 MB
IIAS_NL52_0203.pdf 2.16 MB
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Dec 11, 2009

Google Tailors Korean Home Page to Local Tastes

Image representing Naver as depicted in CrunchBaseImage via CrunchBase

News and links to popular topics and blogs are added; effort seeks to gain market share by appealing more to locals

By EVAN RAMSTAD

SEOUL—Google Inc. this week changed the simple look of its home page in South Korea, adding blocks of links under the main search box about topics and news that are popular with Korean Internet users.

The move marks the first time that Google has significantly altered the iconic appearance of its home page to adapt to local market conditions, said Ted Cho, engineering site director for Google's Korea unit, although the company has made cosmetic tweaks to accommodate different languages. "I think the whole company is watching," Mr. Cho said.

The move represents Google's attempt to revamp its image in South Korea and there are no signs the company is contemplating similar changes to its U.S. homepage, which it keeps deliberately sparse.

Google declined to comment about whether it plans to roll out the new design elsewhere

While Google is the leading search engine and Web service provider in the U.S. and much of the world, the company in South Korea significantly trails two domestic Web portals in usage.

The two Korean companies— NHN Corp. and Daum Communications Inc.—present users with home pages that look more like those of media outlets than a search engine. They include the latest news, photos, videos and updated lists of highly trafficked blogs and popular online chat sites.

Mr. Cho said that he has often heard from South Koreans that they don't know what to do with a search engine that just provides a blank page and search box. "They visit these portals to find information about what's going on and what everyone is talking about," he said. "Then they start a search."

In November, NHN's Naver site led the market with 66% of search queries, according to KoreanClick, an Internet-industry research firm in South Korea. Daum was next with 21%, followed by SK Telecom Inc.'s Nate portal at 6%, Yahoo Inc.'s Korea site at 3% and Google at 2%.

The success of Naver and Daum is rooted in the homogeneity and density of South Korea, which is the size of a midsize U.S. state such as Indiana but with roughly the same number of people as California and Texas, the two most populous U.S. states, combined. South Koreans tend to be interested in the same things, and it shows in Internet search requests.

Both Naver and Daum keep users captive for a longer period than Google or Yahoo by creating vast databases of popular content and linking to them first. For instance, a search for information about lung cancer on Naver or Daum will first yield results from articles the sites have acquired or commissioned from Korean doctors or hospitals.

By contrast, a Google search yields results from the broader Web ranked by Google's search algorithm. Mr. Cho said that wouldn't change in South Korea.

Google found that, on any given day in South Korea, the top 10,000 search items account for 40% to 50% of all requests, more than twice the rate of any other country and far more than in countries with diverse populations.

—Jaeyeon Woo contributed to this article.
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Nov 16, 2009

Concerns Rise Around Obama Trip - WSJ.com

Logo of The Asia-Pacific Economic CooperationImage via Wikipedia

SHANGHAI -- President Barack Obama arrived here late Sunday to press China on issues from climate change to economic restructuring, amid rising concerns that his first swing through Asia as president will yield more disappointment than progress on trade, human rights, national security and environmental concerns.

President Obama speaks with Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, right, during meetings in Singapore, site of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit.

A flurry of actions in Singapore this weekend raised more questions than they resolved on a broad sweep of issues confronting both sides of the Pacific. On Sunday, leaders of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum dropped efforts to reach a binding international climate-change agreement in Copenhagen next month, settling instead for what they called a political framework for future negotiations.

Mr. Obama became the first president to meet with the entire Association of Southeast Asian Nations, including the military junta of Myanmar, and White House officials say he personally demanded the country's leaders release political prisoners, including opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi. But Mr. Obama failed to secure any mention of political prisoners in an ASEAN communiqué.

U.S. President Barack Obama and Russian counterpart Dmitry Medvedev meet in Singapore on the sidelines of an Asia-Pacific summit, but the focus of their talks was on Iran. Video courtesy of Reuters.

The U.S. and Russia now appear unlikely to complete a nuclear arms reduction accord by Dec. 5, when the current Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty expires. Mr. Obama met for closed-door consultations with Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, but National Security Council Russia specialist Michael McFaul said major issues remain, and the two countries are working out a "bridging agreement" to extend previous arms-ratification rules.

On trade, the U.S. president committed this weekend to re-engage the Trans Pacific Partnership, a fledgling free trade alliance in the region. But a presidential shift in tone toward more trade engagement will face its real test Thursday when Mr. Obama visits South Korea to discuss a free trade agreement with that country that remains stuck.

And on Iran, Messers. Obama and Medvedev were left to warn leaders of the Islamic Republic once again that "time is running out." Iran has yet to agree to a Russian offer to provide nuclear material for research in exchange for the closure of a nuclear reactor that western powers say could be used to enrich uranium for nuclear weapons.

Half way through his Asian tour, Mr. Obama is confronting the limits of engagement and personal charm.

International efforts to combat climate change took a significant blow when the leaders of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum conceded a binding international treaty won't be reached when the United Nations convenes in Copenhagen in three weeks. Danish Prime Minister Lars Lokke Rasmussen flew to Singapore Saturday night to deliver a new, down-sized proposal to lock world leaders into further talks.

"Even if we may not hammer out the last dot's of a legally binding instrument, I do believe a political binding agreement with specific commitment to mitigation and finance provides a strong basis for immediate action in the years to come," Mr. Rasmussen told APEC leaders at a hastily convened meeting organized by Mexican President Felipe Calderón and Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd Sunday morning.

The election of Mr. Obama, a believer in strict limits on greenhouse gas emissions, had raised hopes among environmentalists that Copenhagen would produce a tough, binding treaty to follow the Kyoto Accords of 1997. The landslide victory of Japanese Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama's Democratic Party of Japan brought to power a new government pledging deeper emissions cuts than its predecessor. And Chinese President Hu Jintao proposed in September to adopt what he called "carbon intensity targets," the amount of carbon released into the atmosphere per unit of economic output. Emissions from surging economics like China's would continue to rise but at a slower rate.

But political opposition in the U.S. Congress over Mr. Obama's climate-change proposals and continuing resistance among developing countries to binding emission reduction targets slowed consensus ahead of the Copenhagen summit.

Mr. Rasmussen laid out in some detail his goals for the Copenhagen summit. He said leaders should produce a five- to eight-page text with "precise language" committing developed countries to reductions of emissions thought to be warming the planet, with provisions on adapting to warmer temperatures, financing adaptation and combating climate change in poor countries, and technological development and diffusion. It would include pledges of immediate financing for early action.

"We are not aiming to let anyone off the hook," Mr. Rasmussen told the leaders. "We are trying to create a framework that will allow everybody to commit."

But the leaders didn't say when a final summit would be convened to ratify a real treaty.

"There are two choices that we face, given where things are. One was to have a political declaration to say 'We tried. We didn't achieve an agreement and we'll keep on trying.' and the other was to see if we could reach accord as the Danish prime minister laid out," said Michael Froman, White House deputy national security adviser for international economics..

Mr. Obama, in a speech Sunday, took his appeal for a new world economic order to the leaders of Asia that must help make it happen. He said the United States would strive to consume less, save more and restructure its economy around trade and exports. But he appealed to Asian nations to make their own economies more dependent on domestic consumption than U.S. profligacy.

White House officials say a similar message will be delivered in Shanghai and Beijing, but it is unclear how hard the U.S. president can press Beijing to allow the Chinese yuan to appreciate. At the APEC summit, leaders "until the last moment" tried to secure a commitment to stabilize foreign-exchange markers, according to a top adviser to an APEC head of state. But disagreements between the U.S. and Chinese delegations kept any commitment on currency out of the APEC final statement.

A more valuable yuan would empower Chinese consumers to buy, while making Chinese exports less attractive to U.S. consumers. But Washington cannot afford to anger China, which it needs to float a U.S. budget deficit that reached $176.4 billion in October alone, a monthly record.

Indeed, the Asia trip is exposing the limits of Mr. Obama's policy of engagement. The U.S. president met with ASEAN, declaring that efforts to marginalize the government of Myanmar had failed. Human rights groups had hoped a communiqué out of the meeting would call for the release of Ms. Suu Kyi, who is under house arrest. Instead, it made a cryptic reference to a previous ASEAN foreign ministers communiqué that called for her release. Sunday's statement did say that 2010 elections in Myanmar must be "free, fair, inclusive and transparent."

The failure to single out Ms. Suu Kyi was "another blow" to dissidents who want more pressure on the Myanmar junta, said Soe Aung, a spokesman for the Forum for Democracy in Burma, a Thailand-based organization. "We keep saying again and again that the U.S. should not send a mixed signal to the regime."

A White House official said the president never expected the leaders of Myanmar to accept any mention of the Nobel Laureate opposition leader but did press for a mention of political prisoners.

U.S. officials had taken pains to reduce expectations for the meeting, which was part of a new initiative by the Obama administration to improve its ties with Southeast Asia and increase interaction with the Myanmar government. The U.S. imposes stiff sanctions on the country, also known as Burma. But many analysts view those sanctions as a failure as Myanmar has expanded trade with China and other Asian nations, and U.S. officials now believe they might have more influence over the country's leaders if they talk with them more regularly.

Myanmar's military has controlled the country since 1962, and is accused of widespread human rights violations while overseeing an economy that remains one of the least-developed in Asia. The country's profile has risen over the last year, however, amid reports of growing ties with North Korea. The regime plans to hold elections next year, the first since 1990, in a bid to boost its international reputation. But the U.S. and others contend the results cannot be fair unless Ms. Suu Kyi and her supporters – who won the last vote – are allowed to participate.

—Costas Paris contributed to this article.

Write to Jonathan Weisman at jonathan.weisman@wsj.com

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Nov 12, 2009

S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies List of Downloadable Commentaries

2009

November

APEC at 20: Old Promises, New Challenges
by Barry Desker
RSIS Commentary No. 111
Click here to download Commentary

The Armed Forces of Southeast Asia in 2020
by Bernard Loo
RSIS Commentary No. 110
Click here to download Commentary

Human Trafficking in Southeast Asia: Timor-Leste
as a Staging Point

by Loro Horta
RSIS Commentary No. 109
Click here to download Commentary

Future Soldier Systems: Promise or Hubris of the
Network-centric Infantryman

by Ong Weichong
RSIS Commentary No. 108
Click here to download Commentary

After Noordin Top: What Next for Indonesia?
by V. Arianti
RSIS Commentary No. 107
Click here to download Commentary

UMNO General Assembly 2009: Najib in Charge
by Raja Segaran Arumugam
RSIS Commentary No. 106
Click here to download Commentary

October

The Rush for Survival: New Catharsis in Malaysian
Politics?

by Yang Razali Kassim
RSIS Commentary No. 105
Click here to download Commentary

The Fatal Allure of Extremist Logic: Syaifudin Zuhri
and the July 17 Suicide Bombers

by Sulastri Osman
RSIS Commentary No. 104
Click here to download Commentary

Free Trade and Globalisation: Boon or Bane for the
Emerging World?

by Wang Di and Ron Matthews
RSIS Commentary No. 103
Click here to download Commentary

The US and Myanmar: Moving into a New Phase
by Alistair D. B. Cook
RSIS Commentary No. 102
Click here to download Commentary

The Inter-National Serviceman of the SAF:
Citizen Soldiers in Overseas Missions

by Ong Weichong
RSIS Commentary No. 101
Click here to download Commentary

Increased Risks at Sea? Global Shipping Downturn
and Maritime Security

by Sam Bateman
RSIS Commentary No. 100
Click here to download Commentary

Human Security: A Response to the Climate
Security Debates

by Lorraine Elliott
RSIS Commentary No. 99
Click here to download Commentary

Ketsana and its Aftermath: Lessons on Social
Resilience

by Kevin Punzalan
RSIS Commentary No. 98
Click here to download Commentary

September

TYPHOON KESTANA: ASIA’S KATRINA
by Mely Caballero-Anthony, Irene A. Kuntjoro & Sofiah Jamil
RSIS Commentary No. 97
Click here to download Commentary

China’s 60th Anniversary: Celebrating Beijing’s Peaceful Rise
by Wang Di and Ron Matthews
RSIS Commentary No. 96
Click here to download Commentary

Singapore's Defence Policy: Deterrence, Diplomacy
and the Soldier-Diplomat

by Ho Shu Huang
RSIS Commentary No. 95
Click here to download Commentary

Australia's Security Challenges: Lessons for Others?
by Nicholas Floyd
RSIS Commentary No. 94
Click here to download Commentary

Imagining the future:The world in 2020
by Barry Desker
RSIS Commentary No. 93
Click here to download Commentary

Counter-Ideological Work:The Need for Intellectual Rigour
by Mohamed Redzuan Salleh & Muhammad Haniff Hassan
RSIS Commentary No. 92
Click here to download Commentary

The US Defence Industry under Obama:Are the
Good Times Over?

by Richard A. Bitzinger
RSIS Commentary No. 91
Click here to download Commentary

The Dragon and the Anaconda:China, Brazil and the
power balance in the Americas

by Loro Horta
RSIS Commentary No. 90
Click here to download Commentary

After 17 July: Who is Prince of Jihad?
by Nur Azlin Mohamed Yasin
RSIS Commentary No. 89
Click here to download Commentary

Peace Mission 2009: Securing Xinjiang and Central
Asia

by Nadine Godehard and Wang Pengxin
RSIS Commentary No. 88
Click here to download Commentary

The Terrible Allure of Nuclear Weapons
by Bernard Loo
RSIS Commentary No. 87
Click here to download Commentary

August

Surge in the Red Tide: Rise of Maoist Militancy in India
by Sujoyini Mandal, Akanksha Mehta &. Kunal Kirpalani
RSIS Commentary No. 86
Click here to download Commentary

Talibanisation of Pakistan: End of the Road?
by Khuram Iqbal
RSIS Commentary No. 85
Click here to download Commentary

The South China Sea Declaration: A China
Perspective

by Zhai Kun and Wendy Wang
RSIS Commentary No. 84
Click here to download Commentary

Australian Home-Grown Terror
by Sam Mullins and Adam Dolnik
RSIS Commentary No. 83
Click here to download Commentary

Migrant Workers and the Right to Labour
by Nur Azha Putra
RSIS Commentary No. 82
Click here to download Commentary

AUSTRALIA’S FORCE 2030: PREPARING FOR THE
POSSIBLITY OF WORLD WAR

by Joshua Ho
RSIS Commentary No. 81
Click here to download Commentary

Coming to the Rescue of the Oceans: The Climate
Change Imperative

by Sam Bateman and Mary Ann Palma
RSIS Commentary No. 80
Click here to download Commentary

Aung San Suu Kyi’s Verdict: Implications for ASEAN
by Alistair D. B. Cook and Mely Caballero-Anthony
RSIS Commentary No. 79
Click here to download Commentary

Clinton’s Coup in Pyongyang: North Korean
Denuclearisation Next?

by Koh Swee Lean Collin
RSIS Commentary No. 78
Click here to download Commentary

THE FORGOTTEN ROLE OF GOVERNMENT
by Bill Durodié
RSIS Commentary No. 77
Click here to download Commentary

July

ASEAN’S Next Challenge:PREVENTING INCIDENTS
AT SEA

by Kwa Chong Guan
RSIS Commentary No. 76
Click here to download Commentary

Sarkozy and the Burqa:A New Policy or Provocation?
by Tuty Raihanah Mostarom and Eric Frecon
RSIS Commentary No. 75
Click here to download Commentary

Oil Pipeline from Myanmar to China: Competing
Perspectives

by Zha Daojiong
RSIS Commentary No. 74
Click here to download Commentary

Post-Elections Aceh: An Outlook for Peace and
Security

by Andini Gelar Ardani and Tuty Raihanah Mostarom
RSIS Commentary No. 73
Click here to download Commentary

Xinjiang Unrest:Catalyst for New Grand Vision for
China?

by Li Mingjiang
RSIS Commentary No. 72
Click here to download Commentary

Bombs After the Presidential Election:SLOWING
INDONESIA'S RISE?

by Yang Razali Kassim
RSIS Commentary No. 71
Click here to download Commentary

After the Presidential Election:INDONESIA
RISING?

by Yang Razali Kassim
RSIS Commentary No. 70
Click here to download Commentary

AFGHANISTAN:When the War is Unwinnable
by Greg Mills
RSIS Commentary No. 69
Click here to download Commentary

Ethnic Violence in China: Time for a Change in
Beijing’s Approach?

by Rohan Gunaratna
RSIS Commentary No. 68
Click here to download Commentary

Reflections on the 40th SAF Day and Beyond
by Ong Wei Chong
RSIS Commentary No. 67
Click here to download Commentary

ANTI-PIRACY IN SOMALIA: Models for Maritime
Security Institutions

by Joshua Ho
RSIS Commentary No. 66
Click here to download Commentary

Outer Shelf Claims in the South China Sea:New
Dimension to Old Disputes

by Sam Bateman and Clive Schofield
RSIS Commentary No. 65
Click here to download Commentary

June

Pandemics and International Norms:China's
handling of the H1N1 flu

by Zha Daojiong
RSIS Commentary No. 64
Click here to download Commentary

Hard Choices in Hard Times: Taiwan-Russia Defence
Cooperation

by Curie Maharani and Collin Koh
RSIS Commentary No. 63
Click here to download Commentary

Air-Independent Powered Submarines in the Asia-
Pacific: Proliferation and Repercussions

by Richard A. Bitzinger
RSIS Commentary No. 62
Click here to download Commentary

THE NORTHERN SEA ROUTE (NSR): A NEW
TRANSIT PASSAGE BETWEEN EUROPE AND ASIA?

by Joshua Ho
RSIS Commentary No. 61
Click here to download Commentary

PAS Beyond the 2009 Party Elections:Islamism or
Post-Islamism?

by Mohamed Nawab Mohamed Osman
RSIS Commentary No. 60
Click here to download Commentary

Love-Hate Relationship:Australia,Timor and a Rising
China

by Loro Horta
RSIS Commentary No. 59
Click here to download Commentary

Responding to Non-Traditional Security Challenges
in Asia

by Mely Caballero-Anthony
RSIS Commentary No. 58
Click here to download Commentary

NATO Supply Lines in Afghanistan:The Search for
Alternative Routes

by Ryan Clarke and Khuram Iqbal
RSIS Commentary No. 57
Click here to download Commentary

AN ABOUT-FACE TO THE FUTURE:The SAF's New
Career Schemes

by Ho Shu Huang
RSIS Commentary No. 56
Click here to download Commentary

PAS AND NEW POLITICS:WHEN THE ULAMA
REASSERT LEADERSHIP

by Yang Razali Kassim
RSIS Commentary No. 55
Click here to download Commentary

Ending the LTTE: Recipe for counter-terrorism?
by Arabinda Acharya
RSIS Commentary No. 54
Click here to download Commentary

The Arrest of Mas Selamat Kastari: Why the Silence?
by Nur Azlin Mohamed Yasin
RSIS Commentary No. 53
Click here to download Commentary

China’s Re-emergence as an Arms Dealer
by Richard A. Bitzinger
RSIS Commentary No. 52
Click here to download Commentary

Root Causes of Piracy in Somalia
by Bruno Mpondo-Epo
RSIS Commentary No. 51
Click here to download Commentary

May

Military Defeat of the Tamil Tigers:From Velvet
Glove to Iron Fist

by Ong Weichong
RSIS Commentary No. 50
Click here to download Commentary

The “Asia-Pacific Community” Idea: What Next?
by Tan See Seng
RSIS Commentary No. 49
Click here to download Commentary

Recession: Impact on Security and Cohesion
by Bill Durodié
RSIS Commentary No. 48
Click here to download Commentary

F-15SG: The Last Manned Fighter for the RSAF?
by Bernard Loo
RSIS Commentary No. 47
Click here to download Commentary

IS MAS SELAMAT RAMBO?
by Barry Desker
RSIS Commentary No. 46
Click here to download Commentary

Australian Defence White Paper:What Price Maritime
Security?

by Sam Bateman
RSIS Commentary No. 45
Click here to download Commentary

Weapons acquisition in the US: Streamlining
the Process

by Adrian W. J. Kuah
RSIS Commentary No. 44
Click here to download Commentary

Declining support for Islamist Parties: Exploring
the Indonesian ‘Paradox’

by Tuty Raihanah Mostarom and V. Arianti
RSIS Commentary No. 43
Click here to download Commentary

April

The Swine Flu Alert: Keeping Asia Safe
by Mely Caballero-Anthony, Julie Balen and Belinda Chng
RSIS Commentary No. 42
Click here to download Commentary

THE MUMBAI ATTACKS Does Amir Kasab deserve
a free and fair trial?

by Akanksha Mehta and Arabinda Acharya
RSIS Commentary No. 41
Click here to download Commentary

The Great Australian Defence Debate:
Is China a Threat?

by Sam Bateman
RSIS Commentary No. 40
Click here to download Commentary

Polluting the Seas:The Risks of Human Error
by Sam Bateman
RSIS Commentary No. 39
Click here to download Commentary

NUCLEAR ENERGY: Addressing the
Not-in-my-Backyard Syndrome

by Alvin Chew and Jor-Shan Choi
RSIS Commentary No. 38
Click here to download Commentary

EEZs: US Must Unclench its Fist First
by B.A.Hamzah
RSIS Commentary No. 37
Click here to download Commentary

Post-Kyoto Protocol:Changing a Climate of Denial?
by Sofiah Jamil
RSIS Commentary No. 36
Click here to download Commentary

Aircraft Carriers:China's Emerging Maritime
Ambitions

by Richard A Bitzinger
RSIS Commentary No. 35
Click here to download Commentary

Avoiding Unnecessary Radicalization in
Bangladesh: Learning from Pakistan’s
Counter-Terrorism Experiences in FATA

by Ryan Clarke and Clint Lorimore
RSIS Commentary No. 34
Click here to download Commentary

March

ICC’s Verdict on Darfur: Whose Responsibility?
by Mely Caballero-Anthony, Belinda Chng and Roderick Chia
RSIS Commentary No. 33
Click here to download Commentary

NAJIB’S UMNO: ENTER A NEW ERA
by Yang Razali Kassim
RSIS Commentary No. 32
Click here to download Commentary

In Defence of High Seas Freedoms
by Patrick J. Neher, Raul A. Pedrozo & J. Ashley Roach
RSIS Commentary No. 31
Click here to download Commentary

ABDULLAH AZZAM:WOULD HE HAVE
ENDORSED 9/11?

by Muhammad Haniff Hassan & Mohamed Redzuan Salleh
RSIS Commentary No. 30
Click here to download Commentary

The Politics of Consumption in Thailand:Back
to Basics

by Antonio L Rappa
RSIS Commentary No. 29
Click here to download Commentary

ASEAN Petroleum Security Agreement:Sealed
or Leaking?

by Chang Youngho and Collin Koh
RSIS Commentary No. 28
Click here to download Commentary

CLASHES AT SEA:When Chinese vessels
harass US Ships

by Sam Bateman
RSIS Commentary No. 27
Click here to download Commentary

Elizabeth Wong, Karpal Singh and Hudud:
Can Pakatan Survive Differences?

by Goh Nur Firdaus Firoz
RSIS Commentary No. 26
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Sri Lanka’s Civil War: End of an Era?
by Nadeeka Withana
RSIS Commentary No. 25
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Underground Nuclear Power Plant: Why not?
by Alvin Chew
RSIS Commentary No. 24
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Global Crisis and Climate Change:Will recession
undermine climate change negotiations?

by Barry Desker
RSIS Commentary No. 23
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Food Terrorism: How Real? A Historical Survey
since 1950

by Gregory Dalziel
RSIS Commentary No. 22
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February

Obama’s Afghan Arm-Twisting:Weakening Karzai to
give him Strength?

by Clint Lorimore and Ryan Clarke
RSIS Commentary No. 21
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Singapore’s Gulf Anti-Piracy Operations: A Shift
In Strategic Thinking

by Joshua Ho
RSIS Commentary No. 20
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Counter-Ideology: Remaining Vigilant During
Economic Slump

by Muhammad Haniff Hassan & Sharifah Thuraiya S A Alhabshi
RSIS Commentary No. 19
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Piracy in the South China Sea: Maritime
Ambushes off the Mangkai Passage

by Eric Frécon
RSIS Commentary No. 18
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FACING ECONOMIC ADVERSITY: Between
Tactical and Strategic Response

by Ngiam Tong Dow
RSIS Commentary No. 17
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25 Years of Total Defence in Singapore:
Revisiting the Assumptions

by Adrian W. J. Kuah
RSIS Commentary No. 16
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The Gaza Crisis: Impact on Southeast Asia
by Nhina Le Thi Minh Huong
RSIS Commentary No. 15
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Al Qaeda's Female Jihadists: The Islamist
Ideological View

by Tuty Raihanah Mostarom
RSIS Commentary No. 14
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Israel's Propaganda War in Gaza: Losing the Moral
High Ground

by Ong Wei Chong
RSIS Commentary No. 13
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January

GAS FEUDS: Russia and the EU's Energy Security
by Jesmeen Khan and Chang Youngho
RSIS Commentary No. 12
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Obama’s Challenge:Addressing Muslim
Radicalization in Pakistan

by Clint Lorimore
RSIS Commentary No. 11
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PRIORITIES FOR THE OBAMA ADMINISTRATION
by Barry Desker
RSIS Commentary No. 10
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Piracy In The Gulf Of Aden: Lessons From The
Malacca Strait

by Joshua Ho
RSIS Commentary No. 9
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Afghanistan: From Military to Political Solution
by Vinay Kumar Pathak and Syed Adnan Ali Shah
RSIS Commentary No. 8
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Indonesia’s 2009 Legislative Election: The
Emerging Danger of Charismatic Politics

by Hazelia Margaretha
RSIS Commentary No. 7
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Afghanistan:Avoiding another Iraq
by Li Hongyan
RSIS Commentary No. 6
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More than Warfighters: Role of ‘Strategic Corporals’
in the SAF

by Ong Weichong
RSIS Commentary No. 5
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China’s Gulf of Aden Expedition:Stepping Stone to
East Asia?

by Li Mingjiang
RSIS Commentary No. 4
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Commodities, Africa and China
by Jeffrey Herbst & Greg Mills
RSIS Commentary No. 3
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The Other ‘Pirates’ of the Horn of Africa
by Clive Schofield
RSIS Commentary No. 2
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Singapore’s Arms sale to UK:A Defence Export
Breakthrough

by Ron Matthews and Curie Maharani
RSIS Commentary No. 1
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